AEI / Agent Economy Index
Get sector updatesFounding article

THE SHIFT FROM HUMAN TO AGENT COMMERCE

See disruption coming. Prepare sooner.

An early-warning observatory for the acceleration of agent-led markets and supply chains.

Weekly monitoring scheduledLast research: 28 Sept 2026
Every Monday morning · UK time

The change is coming.
Timing changes everything.

When AI agents begin choosing suppliers, negotiating prices, and completing deals with other agents, markets and supply chains will change. The critical question for your organisation, and your career, is when that change starts to accelerate.

AEI tracks the shift from human-led transactions to agent-led commerce. Its ambition is to identify the approach to the steepest part of the adoption S-curve, giving organisations and individuals more time to prepare, invest, and adapt.

Read Rob Dixon’s founding article
Why early warning mattersAn illustrative S-curve with slow early adoption, rapid acceleration, and eventual maturity. AEI aims to spot the transition before the steepest section. This is not a measured forecast.The window to prepareEarly signalsAccelerationMaturityLook for the turn, before the surge.

Follow transaction delegation, the pace of change, and the evidence behind each sector’s signals.

Illustrative S-curve, not a forecast. AEI is an experimental early-warning framework. Current evidence does not establish a reliable disruption date or a statistical confidence level.
Market
Sector
AEI estimates cover consumer commerce.
Signals retain each publisher’s own scope.
World AEI · inferred estimate~0.17 %

Baseline 4 Jul 2026 · low confidence

Held estimate, not a fresh weekly measurement
Deals delegated · T4 + T50.10 %

Share of consumer transaction value

Inferred assumption · same dated baseline
Observed doubling timePending

Comparable history is not yet available

Projections are separate from observations
Published evidence29 records

For the selected market and sector

WEEKLY WATCH

Agent Economy Index

Estimated series
Dotted line: dated estimate carried forward. No interpolated weekly readings.
5 archived snapshots, including the imported paper baseline

COUNTRY × SECTOR

Where the signals are appearing

Click a cell for the evidence and its limits. Colours describe evidence, not disruption probability.

Grid view
DiscoveryPayment activityInfrastructure / pilotSurveyNo eligible source
MarketPayment infrastructureDigital servicesRetailTravel & hospitalityFinancial servicesB2B procurementInsuranceEnergy & utilitiesTelecomsPropertyManufacturingLogisticsHealthcare
United States
China
United Kingdom
Germany
France
Spain
India
Singapore
Australia
Japan
Canada
Brazil
South Africa

Global findings are not assigned to individual countries. Payment rails are enabling evidence, not the banking sector’s AEI. N/A means unmeasured, never 0%.

STARTING POSITION

Consumer-commerce baselines

Rob Dixon · Read the article

Recomputed from the paper’s rounded tier inputs, balancing T2 to 100%. World is the illustrative inferred blend, not a measured or GDP-weighted aggregation.

Rob Dixon, founder of Dixon AI and creator of the Agent Economy Index

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